B. John Garrick, NAE
Distinguished Adjunct Professor of Engineering

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  • Address:

Engineering VI Room 506
404 Westwood Plaza
Los Angeles, CA 90095

  • Email: garrick@ucla.edu
  • Phone: (310)794-7239
 

Dr. Garrick is a recognized international authority on the application of the risk sciences to complex technological systems in the nuclear, space, defense, chemical, marine, and transportation fields.

He was appointed by President George W. Bush to the U.S. Nuclear Waste Technical Review Board as Chairman on September 10, 2004, and served two terms ending September 2012. He served for 10 years (1994-2004), 4 years as chair, on the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission's Advisory Committee on Nuclear Waste. His areas of expertise include quantitative risk assessment and nuclear science and engineering. A founder of the firm PLG, Inc., Garrick retired as President, Chairman, and Chief Executive Officer in 1997. Before PLG's acquisition and integration into a new firm, it was an international engineering, applied science, and management consulting firm.

Garrick was elected to the National Academy of Engineering in 1993, the highest honor that can be granted to an engineer; President of the Society for Risk Analysis 1989-90, and recipient of that Society's most prestigious award, the Distinguished Achievement Award in 1994. He has been a member and chair of several National Research Council committees, having served as Vice Chair of the Academies' Board on Radioactive Waste Management and as a member of the Commission on Geosciences, Environment, and Resources. He was Vice Chairman and technical lead of the National Academy of Science’s Committee on Lessons Learned from the Fukushima Nuclear Accident for Improving Safety and Security of U.S. Nuclear Plants and was Chairman of the National Academy of Engineer’s Committee on Combating Terrorism. Among other National Academy committees he has chaired are the Committee on the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant, the Committee on Technologies for Cleanup of High-Level Waste in Tanks in the DOE Weapons Complex, and the Panel on Risk Assessment Methodologies for Marine Systems. Other Academy committee memberships included space applications, automotive safety, proliferation of nuclear materials, and chemical weapons disposal. He is a member of the first class of lifetime national associates of the National Academies.

Garrick’s academic experience includes adjunct professorships at UCLA and Vanderbilt University; short course lecturer at MIT; member of Dean’s Advisory Council, UCLA’s School of Engineering; member of the Leadership Council, College of Physical and Mathematical Sciences, BYU; and served on the National Commission of the Accreditation Board for Engineering and Technology as well as a past member of other university advisory committees.

Garrick authored the book “Quantifying and Controlling Catastrophic Risks” published by Academic Press; co-editor of the book, “The Analysis, Communication, and Perception of Risk” published by Plenum Press; lead author of the handbook “Power Plant Availability Engineering” published by the Electric Power Research Institute; author of several book chapters; and published more than 250 technical papers and reports on risk, reliability, engineering, and technology.

Garrick received his Ph.D. in engineering and applied science from the University of California, Los Angeles, in 1968. His fields of study were neutron transport, applied mathematics, and applied physics. He received an M.S. in nuclear engineering from UCLA in 1962, attended the Oak Ridge School of Reactor Technology in 1954-55, and received a B.S. in physics from Brigham Young University in 1952. He is a fellow of three professional societies: the American Nuclear Society, the Society for Risk Analysis, and the Institute for the Advancement of Engineering. He received the UCLA Henry Samueli School of Engineering and Applied Science 2014 Alumnus of the year award. He is a registered professional engineer in California.

Selected Publications

Books

  • Garrick, B.J., et al., Quantifying and Controlling Catastrophic Risks. ISBN: 978-0-12-374601-6, Academic Press (Elsevier Inc.), Amsterdam, 2008.
  • Garrick, B.J., and W.C. Gekler, Editors, The Analysis, Communication, and Perception of Risk, Vol. 9 of Advances in Risk Analysis, Plenum Press, New York, 1991.
  • Garrick, B.J., et al., “Power Plant Availability Engineering – Methods of Analysis, Program Planning, and Applications,” NP-2168, Electric Power Research Institute, Palo Alto, California, 1982.

Encyclopedia Contributions, Book Sections, and Chapters

  • Garrick, B.J., “Nuclear Power: Risk Analysis,” Reference Module in Earth Systems and Environmental Sciences, Elsevier, 2013.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Nuclear Power: Risk Analysis,” contribution to Encyclopedia of Energy, Vol. 4. Elsevier Inc., 2004.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Foreword” of book titled Probabilistic Safety Assessment in the Chemical and Nuclear Industries, Ralph R. Fullwood, Butterworth-Heinemann, 2000.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Risk Management of the Nuclear Power Industry,” Chapter IV.1 of book titled Fundamentals of Risk Analysis and Risk Management, Edited by Vlasta Molak, CRC Lewis Publishers, 1997.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Risk Management in the Nuclear Power Industry,” Chapter 14 of book titled Engineering Safety, Edited by David Blockley, a McGraw-Hill International (United Kingdom) Series in Civil Engineering, 1992.
  • Garrick, B.J., and S. Kaplan, “Principal Types of Power Plants,” Chapter 2.7 of book titled High Risk Safety Technology, Edited by A.E. Green, John Wiley & Sons, 1982.

Refereed Papers for Technical Journals

  • Garrick, B.J., and C.A.W. Di Bella, “Technical Advances for Geologic Disposal of High Activity Waste,” The Bridge, Fall 2014, pp. 50-57.
  • Garrick, B.J., “PRA-Based Risk Management: History and Perspectives,” Nuclear News, July 2014, pp. 48-53.
  • Garrick, B.J., J.W. Stetkar, and P.J. Bembia, “Quantitative Risk Assessment of the New York State Operated West Valley Radioactive Waste Disposal Area,” Risk Analysis, Vol. 30, No. 8, August 2010, pp. 1219-1230.
  • Garrick, B.J., “What Have We Learned About Geologic Disposal from the Yucca Mountain Project Experience?” Presented at the Symposium on Uncertainty in Long Term Planning, Nuclear Waste Management, in honor of Frank L. Parker, Distinguished Professor of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering, Vanderbilt University, January 7-8, 2008.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Contemporary Issues in Risk-Informed Decision Making on the Disposition of Radioactive Waste,” Warren K. Sinclair Keynote Address, Health Physics Journal, Vol. 91, Issue 5, November 2006.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Activities of the Advisory Committee on Nuclear Waste and Perspectives on Selected Technical Issues,” accepted for publication in the American Society of Civil Engineers’ Practice Periodical of Hazardous, Toxic, and Radioactive Waste Management, Special Issue on Radioactive Waste, January 2005.
  • Garrick, B.J., et al., “Confronting the Risks of Terrorism: Making the Right Decisions,” a special issue of Reliability Engineering & System Safety, Elsevier, ISSN: 0951-8320, Vol. 86, No. 2, November 2004.
  • Garrick, B.J., “The Current Status, Safety, and Transportation of Spent Nuclear Fuel,” The Bridge, National Academy of Engineering, Vol. 33, No. 3, Fall 2003.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Perspectives on the Use of Risk Assessment to Address Terrorism,” Risk Analysis, Vol. 21, Issue #4, 2002.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Demystifying Yucca Mountain,” IEEE Spectrum, September 2002.
  • Garrick, B.J., Y.Y. Haimes, and S. Kaplan, “Fitting Hierarchical Holographic Modeling into the Theory of Scenario Structuring and a Resulting Refinement to the Quantitative Definition of Risk,” Risk Analysis, 2001.
  • Garrick, B.J., “What Short and Long Term Effects Will the September 11, 2001, Terrorist Attacks Have on Quantitative Risk Assessment,” Cover Story, Fourth Quarter 2001 Issue of the RISK Newsletter, 2001.
  • Garrick, B.J., and R.F. Christie, “Probabilistic Risk Assessment Practices in the United States of America for Nuclear Power Plants,” Safety Science, 2001.
  • Garrick, B.J., “The Use of Risk Assessment to Evaluate Waste Disposal Facilities in the United States of America,” Safety Science, 2001.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Risk Assessment Methodologies Applicable to Marine Systems,” Proceedings of the Marine Safety Council, July-September 1999.
  • Garrick, B.J., and S. Kaplan, “A Decision Theory Perspective on the Disposal of High Level Radioactive Waste,” Risk Analysis, Vol. 19, No. 5, 1999.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Technological Stigmatism, Risk Perception, and Truth,” Reliability Engineering and Systems Safety, December 9, 1996.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Lessons Learned from 21 Nuclear Plant Probabilistic Risk Assessments,” Nuclear Technology, Vol. 84, March 1989.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Risk Assessment Practices in the Space Industry: The Move Toward Quantification,” Guest Editorial, Risk Analysis, Vol. 9, No. 1, 1989.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Probabilistic Risk Assessment in the Nuclear Sector: from Reactor Safety to Disposal Safety,” Risk Analysis in Nuclear Waste Management, 37-53, 1989.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Risk Assessment Practices in the Space Industry – The Move Toward Quantification,” Risk Analysis, November 1988.
  • Garrick, B.J., and S. Kaplan, “Risk Analysis and the Society for Risk Analysis: Where Have We Been, Where Are We Going?” Risk Analysis, September 1988.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Lessons Learned from 21 Nuclear Plant Probabilistic Risk Assessments,” Nuclear Safety, 1988.
  • Garrick, B.J., “The Approach to Risk Analysis in Three Industries: Nuclear Power, Space Systems, and Chemical Processes,” Reliability Engineering & System Safety, Vol. 23, No. 3, 1988.
  • Boykin, R.F., M. Kazarians, and B.J. Garrick, “Apply Risk Analysis to Identify and Quantify Plant Hazards,” ISA Reprint, Instruments Society of America, July 1986.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Recent Case Studies and Advancements in Probabilistic Risk Assessment,” Risk Analysis, Vol. 4, No. 4, 1984.
  • Apostolakis, G., B.J. Garrick, and D. Okrent, “On Quality, Peer Review and the Achievement of Consensus in Probabilistic Risk Analysis,” Nuclear Safety, Vol. 24, No. 6, November-December 1983.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Consultant Tells How to Reduce Nuclear Risk,” Electric Light and Power, July 1983.
  • Kaplan, S., B.J. Garrick, and A. Torri, “The Matrix Method for Handling Model Interfaces-Risk Assembly and Decomposition,” Transactions, American Nuclear Society, Vol. 44, Detroit, Michigan, June 1983.
  • Kaplan, S., B.J. Garrick, and G. Apostolakis, “Advances in Quantitative Risk Assessment – The Maturing of a Discipline,” Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Transactions on Nuclear Science, Vol. NS-18, No. 1, February 1981.
  • Kaplan, S., and B.J. Garrick, “On the Quantitative Definition of Risk,” Risk Analysis, Vol. 1, No. 1, 1981.
  • Kaplan, S., B.J. Garrick, and P. Bienarz, “On the Use of Bayes’ Theorem in Assessing the Frequency of Anticipated Transients,” Nuclear Engineering and Design, 64, 23-31, 1981.
  • Kaplan, S., and B.J. Garrick, “Try Probabilistic Thinking to Improve Power Plant Reliability,” Power, March 1980.
  • Apostolakis, G., S. Kaplan, B.J. Garrick, and R.J. Duphily, “Data Specialization for Plant Specific Risk Studies,” Nuclear Engineering and Design 56, 1980.
  • Apostolakis, G., S. Kaplan, B.J. Garrick, and W. Dickter, “Assessment of the Frequency of Failure to Scram in Light Water Reactors,” Nuclear Safety, Vol. 20, No. 6, November-December 1979.
  • Kaplan, S., and B.J. Garrick, “On the Use of a Bayesian Reasoning in Safety and Reliability Decisions – Three Examples,” Nuclear Technology, Vol. 44, July 1979.
  • Garrick, B.J., and S. Kaplan, “Reliability Technology and Nuclear Power,” reprint from IEEE Transactions on Reliability, Vol. R-25, No.3, August 1976.
  • Garrick, B.J., “California Power Plant Siting,” a reprint of a review article prepared for the U.S. Atomic Energy Commission’s Bimonthly Journal, Nuclear Safety, 1973.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Principles of Unified Systems Safety Analysis,” Nuclear Engineering and Design, 13 245-321, 1970.
  • Garrick, B.J., and W.C. Gekler, “Reliability Analysis of Engineered Safeguards,” Nuclear Safety, Vol. 8, No. 5, October 1967.
  • Morrisson, J.L., and B.J. Garrick, “What We Learned from the PRDC Case,” Nucleonics, Vol. 17, No. 7, July 1959.

Selected Other Papers and Presentations

  • Garrick, B.J., and D. H. Johnson, "Employing the Risk Sciences to Improve the Performance of Complex Engineered Systems," Plenary Lecture, International Symposium on Science, Engineering, and Strategy of Risk Based Management, Tokyo, Japan, November 30-December 1, 2015.
  • Garrick, B.J., "The Use of Probabilistic Risk Assessment in the Design of High-Hazard Facilities," PE (Professional Engineer) Magazine, Vol. 36, Number 9, November 2014.
  • Garrick, B.J., and A. A. Dykes, “Enhancing Corrosion Decisions with the Aid of the Risk Sciences,” presented at the NACE International, Corrosion 2014 Conference and Expo, San Antonio, Texas, March 12, 2014.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Accelerating Implementation of Contemporary Nuclear Safety Assessment,” Keynote Presentation, U.S.-Japan Probabilistic Risk Assessment Roundtable, Conducted Under the Civil Nuclear Energy Research and Development Working Group of the U.S.-Japan Bilateral Commission on Civil Nuclear Cooperation, Tokyo, Japan, February 20-21, 2014.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Sitewide Risk Assessments Involving Multiunits of Nuclear Power Plants,” U.S.-Japan Probabilistic Risk Assessment Roundtable, Conducted Under the Civil Nuclear Energy Research and Development Working Group of the U.S.-Japan Bilateral Commission on Civil Nuclear Cooperation, Tokyo, Japan, February 20-21, 2014.
  • Garrick, B.J., “PRA Based Risk Management: History and Perspectives,” presented at Closing Plenary Session, Embedded Topical Meeting: Risk Management, 2013 American Nuclear Society Winter Meeting, November 14, 2013.
  • Garrick, B.J., “A General Theory of Quantitative Risk Assessment,” Keynote Address, International Conference on Risk Management of Corrodible Systems, Washington, DC, June 18-20, 2013.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Technical Advancements for Geologic Disposal of High-Activity Waste,” invited presentation to the Center for Nuclear Waste Regulatory Analyses of the Southwest Research Institute, San Antonio, Texas, October 27, 2011.
  • Garrick, B.J., “The Society for Risk Analysis Past President’s Commentary on the Deepwater Horizon Oil Spill,” The Society for Risk Analysis RISK Newsletter, Third Quarter 2010.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Making Better Decisions with Probabilistic Risk Assessment,” presented at the Workshop on Risk Assessment and Safety Decision Making under Uncertainty hosted by Consortium for Risk Evaluation with Stakeholder Participation and Vanderbilt University, Bethesda, Maryland, September 21-22, 2010.
  • Garrick, B.J., “An Independent Perspective on the Elements of an Effective Oversight Process,” presented at the U. S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission’s 22nd Annual Regulatory Information Conference held in Bethesda, Maryland, March 9-11, 2010.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Profile – Nuclear Risk Assessment Pioneer,” Risk Analysis, Vol. 29, No. 7, July 2009.
  • Garrick, B.J., and W.C. Gekler, “Quantifying the Risk of Nuclear Fuel Recycling Facilities,” prepared for and presented at Short Course: Introduction to Nuclear Chemistry and Fuel Cycle Separations,” Vanderbilt University, Nashville, Tennessee, December 16-18, 2008.
  • Garrick, B.J., “A Probabilistic Risk Assessment Perspective of QMU,” Appendix A of National Academy Report titled “Evaluation of Quantification of Margins and Uncertainties Methodology for Assessing and Certifying the Reliability of the Nuclear Stockpile,” October 2008.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Quantifying the Risk of Rare Events with Limited Information,” presented to Committee on Evaluation of Quantification of Margins and Uncertainty Applied to the Certification of the Nation’s Nuclear Weapons Stockpile, Albuquerque, New Mexico, August 13, 2007.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Why Probabilistic Risk Assessment?” Presented as General Chairman of the American Nuclear Society’s International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Analysis, San Francisco, California, September 11-15, 2005.
  • Garrick, B.J., “The Role of Quantitative Risk Assessment in Combating Terrorism,” presented at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology Symposium on PRA and Decision Making: Successes and Challenges 30 Years after the Rasmussen Study – a symposium to honor the late Professor Norman C. Rasmussen, Cambridge, April 29, 2004.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Licensing Yucca Mountain the Risk-Informed Way,” presented in the Opening Plenary Session of the 9th International Conference on Environmental Remediation and Radioactive Waste Management, Oxford University, England, September 22, 2003.
  • Garrick, B.J., J.B. Ramsay, C.G. Whipple, and E.L. Zebroski, “A Summary of Observations on the Nuclear Explosives Safety Study Process for the Period 2002-2003,” prepared for the DOE Albuquerque Operations staff, David Beck, and The Defense Nuclear Facility Safety Board, Albuquerque, New Mexico, and Washington, DC, June 11-12, 2003.
  • Garrick, B.J., “The Role of Quantitative Risk Assessment in Combating Terrorism,” presented at the American Nuclear Society’s Annual Meeting, San Diego, California, June 2, 2003.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Combating the Risk of Terrorism: Making the Right Decisions,” presented to MIT’s Homeland Security Technology and Policy: A Seminar Series, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, March 17, 2003.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Spent Nuclear Fuel: Current Status, Safety, and Transportation,” presented at the NAE National Meeting, Symposium on Technology and Policy for Disposition of Spent Nuclear Fuel, Irvine, California, February 6, 2003.
  • Garrick, B.J., “High-Level Waste Risk Insights Initiative,” presented to the Commissioners of the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Washington, DC, December 18, 2002.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Probabilistic Performance Assessment for High-Level Radioactive Waste Disposal,” prepared for the Advisory Committee on Nuclear Waste’s participation in Quadripartite Meeting of the National Advisory Committees of France, Germany, Japan, and USA, held in Berlin, Germany, October 25, 2002.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Round Table Discussion, Probabilistic Performance Assessment and Barrier Analyses,” presented to the U.S. Nuclear Waste Technical Review Board, Pahrump, Nevada, September 10, 2002.
  • Garrick, B.J., “High-Level Waste Licensing and Transportation Issues,” presented to the National Academies’ Board on Radioactive Waste Management, Washington, DC, July 30, 2002.
  • Garrick, B. J., “Considerations in the Use of Probabilistic Risk Assessment to Assess Terrorism Risk,” presented to Argonne National Laboratory, Idaho Falls, Idaho, May 1, 2002.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Overview of Terrorism Risk Assessment Methodology,” presented to The National Academies’ Committee on Combating Terrorism, Washington, DC, February 25, 2002.
  • Garrick, B.J., “The Conceptual and Philosophical Basis of Quantitative Risk Assessment,” presented at Frank L. Parker Distinguished Lecture Series, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, Tennessee, November 26, 2001.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Characteristics of Terrorism Risk Assessment Panel Remarks,” presented at Bioterrorism Threat Assessment and Risk Management Workshop, U.S. Department of Energy and Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Monterey Institute of International Studies, Washington, DC, November 12-13, 2001.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Twenty-Five Years Since the Reactor Safety Study, The Legacy and the Lessons – An Industry Perspective,” presented to the 28th Water Reactor Safety Information Meeting, Washington, DC, October 23, 2000.
  • Garrick, B.J., “The Conceptual and Philosophical Basis of Contemporary Risk Analysis,” presented at a Meeting on the Application of QRA Methods to the Space Shuttle, National Aeronautics and Space Administration, Marshall Space Flight Center, August 1, 2000.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Radioactive Waste Disposal,” invited expert presentation, EC-JRC International Workshop on Promotion of Technical Harmonization on Risk-Based Decision Making, Ispra, Italy, May 22-26, 2000.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Nonradioactive Waste Disposal,” invited expert presentation, EC-JRC International Workshop on Promotion of Technical Harmonization on Risk-Based Decision Making, Ispra, Italy, May 22-26, 2000.
  • Garrick, B.J., and R.F. Christie, “Nuclear Power Plants,” invited expert presentation, EC-JRC International Workshop on Promotion of Technical Harmonization on Risk-Based Decision Making, Ispra, Italy, May 22-26, 2000.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Nuclear Waste Separations and Transmutation Technologies (STATS Report Highlights),” presented at a National Research Council Workshop on High Level Waste Disposal, Irvine, California, November 4-5, 1999.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Risk Informed Regulation – Global Considerations,” presented at the 1999 Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment, Washington, DC, August 22-26, 1999.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Symposium on the Application of Risk in the Marine Transportation System, Panel Discussion on Risk Assessment Methods,” presented to National Research Council (sponsored by the U.S. Coast Guard), Washington, DC, March 29-30, 1999.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Status Report on the Development of the National Spent Fuel Repository at Yucca Mountain, Nevada,” presentation made to the American Nuclear Society, Los Angeles Section, May 14, 1998.
  • Garrick, B.J., “The Conceptual and Philosophical Basis of Contemporary Risk Analysis,” keynote address presented at the University of California Symposium on the Risk Sciences, Los Angeles, April 14, 1998.
  • Garrick, B.J., “The Application of QRA Principles to the Selection of Environmental Management Technologies,” presented to the National Research Council, Committee on DOE’s Decision-Making Process, Washington, DC, November 10, 1997.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Report of the Committee on High-Level Waste in Tanks,” presented at Board on Radioactive Waste Management, National Academies, Washington, DC, October 28, 1997.
  • Garrick, B.J., W.C. Gekler, S.B. Rao, and C.M. Roy, “Attributes of a ‘Good’ Database,” Position Paper, prepared for Safety Data Workshop, Committee on Risk Assessment and Management of Marine Systems, National Research Council, Washington, DC, January 21-22, 1997.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Stigmatism, Risk Perception, and Truth,” invited paper, presented at Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management Meeting, Crete, Greece, June 24-28, 1996.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Trends in Radioactive Waste Management, Current Controversies and Emerging Issues,” presented at National Research Council, Commission on Geosciences Environment and Resources, Washington, DC, March 8, 1996.
  • Garrick, B.J., S.B. Rao, and J. Landolt, “Engineering Insights into Safety Features of an Advanced Light Water Reactor Built in 1979,” presented at the International Conference on PSA Methodology and Applications, Seoul, Korea, November 26-30, 1995.
  • Garrick, B.J., and A.A. Dykes, “Application of Risk-Based Regulation to Technical Specifications,” presented at International Conference on PSA Methodology and Applications, Seoul, Korea, November 26-30, 1995.
  • Garrick, B.J., and D.J. Wakefield, “A Progress Report on the Status of Selected Applications of Probabilistic Risk Assessments in the U.S. Nuclear Power Industry,” presented at the International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment Methodology and Applications, Seoul, Korea, November 26-30, 1995.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Risk Based Regulation (A Consultant’s Perspective), presented to Advisory Committee on Reactor Safeguards, Washington, DC, October 26, 1995.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Risk Based Regulation – Where Do We Stand?” invited paper, presented at the American Nuclear Society Meeting, September 17-20, 1995.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Introduction and Overview of Quantitative Risk Assessment,” part of Summary Report titled “A Risk-Based Approach to the Evaluation and Application of Disarmament Strategies, and Technologies, prepared for North Atlantic Treaty Organization, Visegrád, Hungary, May 19-23, 1995.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Remarks by Dr. Garrick upon His Receipt of the SRA Distinguished Achievement Award – Thoughts on How to Improve Risk Analysis,” presented at Annual Meeting of the Society for Risk Analysis, December 5, 1994.
  • Garrick, B.J., and S. Kaplan, “Assessment of Risk as Applied to the Performance Assessment of Nuclear Waste Repositories,” presented at the Symposium of the National Council on Radiation Protection and Measurements, November 9, 1994.
  • Garrick, B.J., and S. Kaplan, “Technical Note – Quantitative Performance Assessment of Nuclear Waste Repositories,” prepared for U.S. Nuclear Waste Technical Review Board, January 12, 1994.
  • Garrick, B.J., “A Risk Perspective of Nuclear Waste Repository Performance Assessment,” presented to U.S. Nuclear Waste Technical Review Board, January 12, 1994.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Current and Future Directions of Quantitative Risk Assessments,” interview for the DOE Risk Management Quarterly, appeared January 1994.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Norm Rasmussen, The Nuclear Option: Issues by Energy and Risk,” presented at a symposium honoring Professor Norman C. Rasmussen, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, April 21, 1993.
  • Garrick, B.J., “The Relationship between WIPP Performance Assessment and Probabilistic Risk Assessment,” presented at Society for Risk Analysis Meeting, December 7, 1992.
  • Garrick, B.J., “The General Theory of Quantitative Risk Management with Applications,” presented at the Committee on Review and Evaluation of the Army Chemical Stockpile Disposal Program, Washington, DC, January 21, 1992.
  • Garrick, B.J., “The Application of Quantitative Risk Assessment to Chemical, Aerospace, and Nuclear Programs,” presented at the Committee on Review and Evaluation of the Army Chemical Stockpile Disposal Program, November 19, 1991.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Orientation for Nuclear Engineering Program Evaluators,” presented at ANS Professional Development and Accreditation Commission, November 12, 1991.
  • Garrick, B.J., and S. Kaplan, “Towards A Realistic Assessment of the Intrusion Scenario,” and “Towards A Realistic Assessment of Human Intrusion Into Radioactive Waste Repositories,” invited paper, presented at the EPRI Workshop on Technical Basis for EPA High Level Waste Disposal Criteria, September 24-26, 1991.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Lessons Learned and Future Developments in Probabilistic Safety Assessment,” and “The Probabilistic Risk Assessment Thought Process,” presented at PWR Safety Seminar, sponsored by the American Nuclear Society, Prague, Czechoslovakia, and Budapest, Hungary, April 18-19, 1991.
  • Fuller, W.R., B. J. Garrick, and J.C. Lin, “Space Station Freedom Quantitative Risk Assessment Program,” presented at the International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM), Beverly Hills, California, February 4-7, 1991.
  • Garrick, B.J., “The Application of Quantitative Risk Assessment to Chemical, Aerospace, and Nuclear Programs,” presented at the California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, California, November 14, 1990.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Yardsticks to Measure Risk,” presented at the Professional Conference on Industrial Hygiene, American Academy of Industrial Hygiene, Vancouver, British Columbia, October 23-26, 1990.
  • Garrick, B.J., and J.C. Lin, “Future Developments in Probabilistic Safety Assessment," presented at CSNI Workshop on Applications and Limitations of PSA, Santa Fe, New Mexico, September 4-6, 1990.
  • Gekler, W.C., B.J. Garrick, and M. Kazarians, “The Role of Quantitative Safety and Risk Analysis for Decisions on the Acquisition of Chemical Facilities,” presented at AIChE Summer National Meeting, August 20-23, 1989.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Advanced Seminar on Risk Analysis in Nuclear Waste Management,” Joint Research Centre, Ispra, Italy, May 30-June 3, 1989.
  • Rasmussen, N.C., and B.J. Garrick, “Probabilistic Risk Assessment and Its Application to Nuclear Power Reactors,” prepared for USSR Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia, May 19, 1989.
  • Garrick, B.J., “PSA: Is It Really Worth It? An Overview of Probabilistic Risk Assessment, Its Purposes and Applications,” prepared for PSA National Topical Meeting on Probability, Reliability, and Safety Assessment, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, April 2-7, 1989.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Probabilistic Risk Assessment from Reactor Safety to Disposal Safety,” prepared for ASCE Specialty Conference, Hazardous Facilities: Siting, Permitting, and Development, August 29-30, 1988.
  • Garrick, B.J., and S. Kaplan, “Appendix D, Probabilistic Risk Assessment from Post-Challenger Evaluation of Space Shuttle Risk Assessment and Management,” prepared for National Research Council, June 27, 1988.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Post-Challenger Evaluation of Space Shuttle Risk Assessment and Management,” prepared for TIMS/ORSA Joint National Meeting, April 25-27, 1988.
  • Garrick, B.J., S. Kaplan, and D.C. Bley, “Quantitative Risk Assessment, What Is It? How Is It Done? What Good Is It?” prepared for the National Research Council, Space Shuttle Criticality Review and Hazard Analysis Audit Committee, February 10, 1987.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Format of PRA Results,” prepared for U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission Workshop on PRA Form and Content, Annapolis, Maryland, November 5-6, 1986.
  • Garrick, B.J., and M.V. Frank, “An Engineering Approach to Quantitative Decision Analysis in Power Plant Life Extension Studies,” presented at the ASME/IEEE Power Generation Conference, Portland, Oregon, October 19-23, 1986.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Current Practices in Probabilistic Risk Assessment of Nuclear Power Plants,” invited lecture, prepared for Technical Workshop on Nuclear Reactor Safety and Thermohydraulics, Korea Nuclear Society and ANS Section, May 18, 1985.
  • Garrick, B.J., “The Zion/Indian Point Study Methodology: Model Interfaces,” presented at the American Nuclear Society Annual Meeting, Detroit, Michigan, June 12-17, 1983.
  • Garrick, B.J., D.C. Bley, S.Kaplan, and T.E. Potter, “Transcripts of Indian Point Testimony before the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission’s Atomic Safety and Licensing Board.” (The first USNRC licensing hearing where PRA was a major consideration), 1982-1983.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Results from Recently Performed PRA Studies (Zion/Indian Point) and the Proposed Use of Such Studies for Safety Decision-Making,” presented at the American Nuclear Society Northeastern Section and Massachusetts Institute of Technology Department of Nuclear Engineering Meeting, Cambridge, March 16, 1982.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Lessons Learned from First Generation Nuclear Plant Probabilistic Risk Assessments,” presented to Advisory Committee on Reactor Safeguards Subcommittee, Los Angeles, California, July 28, 1981.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Probabilistic Risk Assessment and Regulation,” presented at the Atomic Industrial Forum Workshop on Licensing and Technical Issues, Post-Three Mile Island, Washington, DC, March 9-12, 1980.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Power Plant Reliability: Practices and Trends,” presented to the Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Power Engineering Society, San Francisco Section, January 15, 1980.
  • Garrick, B.J., and W. Dickter, “How Do We Improve the Productivity of Large Power Plants,” presented at the Pacific Coast Electrical Association, March 17-18, 1977.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Broadening the Application of Risk and Reliability Technology,” presented to the American Nuclear Society Annual Meeting, Toronto, Canada, June 13-18, 1976.
  • Garrick, B.J., and S. Kaplan, “A Method for Evaluating Nuclear Plant Siting Concepts,” presented before the Joint Committee on Atomic Development and Space, California Legislature, Sacramento, California, May 19, 1972.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Reliability Analysis of Bulk Mail Handling Facilities,” presented at the Tenth Annual Reliability and Maintainability Conference, Anaheim, California, June 28-30, 1971.
  • Garrick, B.J., O.C. Baldonado, and W.C. Gekler, “Estimating the Risk Involved in Transport of Hazardous Materials,” presented at Armed Services Explosives Safety Board, August 25-27, 1970.
  • Garrick, B.J., “An Approach to Systems Safety Analysis for Nuclear Power Plants,” presented at the Meeting of the Committee on Reactor Safety Technology, Brussels, Belgium, April 11-12, 1967.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Monitoring the Reliability of Engineered Safeguards,” presented at the American Nuclear Society National Meeting, Los Angeles, California, February 16-18, 1965.
  • Garrick, B.J., “The Meaning of Test Reactor Operating and Safety Experience to Power Reactor Operations,” presented before the 1963 Annual Conference of the Atomic Industrial Forum, November 18-21, 1963.

Selected Short Courses/Symposiums

  • Garrick, B.J., et al., “Special Symposium on Quantitative Risk Assessment,” sponsored by the Family Foundations of Chauncey Starr and B. John Garrick, held at the National Academies Beckman Center in Irvine, California, May 31-June 2, 2001.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Risk Assessment and Management – An Historical Overview,” presented at the University of California, Irvine, Extension Course, April 1, 1996.
  • Garrick, B.J., Lecturer at the annual MIT Nuclear Power Reactor Safety Course, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, from approximately 1982 through 1996.
  • Garrick, B.J., et al., “Quantitative Risk Assessment and Management,” AIAA Professional Studies Series, American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Washington, DC, May 9-12, 1995.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Risk Assessment and Management,” prepared for University of California, Irvine, Extension Series, April 3 – June 12, 1995.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Principles of Quantitative Performance Assessment of Engineered Systems,” presented to University of California, Santa Barbara, California, November 28, 1994.
  • Garrick, B.J., et al., “Quantitative Risk Assessment and Management,” AIAA Professional Studies Series, American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Washington, DC, April 5-8, 1994.
  • Garrick, B.J., “The General Theory of Quantitative Risk Assessment with Applications,” presented to University of California, Irvine, November 6, 1992.
  • Garrick, et al., Taught annual short courses on Risk and Reliability Analysis at the University of California, Los Angeles, from approximately 1968 through 1989.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Probabilistic Risk Assessment in the Nuclear Sector - from Reactor Safety to Disposal Safety,” prepared for Risk Analysis in Nuclear Waste Management ISPRA Courses, Italy, May 30 – June 3, 1988.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Probabilistic Risk Assessment in the Nuclear Industry,” prepared for Risk Analysis in Nuclear Waste Management, ISPRA Courses, Italy, May 30 – June 3, 1988.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Quantitative Risk Assessment and the Space Program,” prepared for Risk Analysis Seminars Series, Stanford University, California, March 31, 1988. 
  • Garrick, B.J., “Quantitative Risk Assessment of Technological Systems,” prepared for the University of California, Berkeley, February 25, 1988.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Probabilistic Risk Assessment and Risk Management,” prepared for Nuclear Power Plant Structural Reliability Seminar,” at the Electric Power Research Institute, September 4-6, 1985.

Selected Technical Reports

  • Garrick, B. J., et al., “Further Evaluation of Extreme Natural Events for the State Licensed Disposal Area at the Western New York Nuclear Service Center,” DRAFT, prepared for the New York State Energy Research and Development Authority, November 15, 2013.
  • Garrick, B.J., et al., “Review of the U.S. Department of Energy Responses to the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission Requests for Additional Information on the West Valley Demonstration Project Phase 1 Decommissioning Plan,” prepared for the New York State Energy Research and Development Authority, December 14, 2009.
  • Garrick, B.J., et al., “Independent Review of Selected Sections of the 2009 West Valley Decommissioning Final Environmental Impact Statement,” prepared for the New York State Energy Research and Development Authority, November 20, 2009.
  • Garrick, B.J., et al., “Quantitative Risk Assessment of the State-Licensed Radioactive Waste Disposal Area,” prepared for the New York State Energy Research and Development Authority, September 25, 2008.
  • Garrick, B.J., et al., “Independent Review of the Draft Environmental Impact Statement for Decommissioning and/or Long-Term Stewardship at the West Valley Demonstration Project and Western New York Nuclear Service Center,” prepared for the New York State Energy Research and Development Authority, September 23, 2008.
  • Garrick, B.J., et al., “INEEL Ad Hoc Review Committee on Waste Area Group 7,” prepared for the Idaho National Engineering and Environmental Laboratory, May 2001.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Space Shuttle Operational Risk Assessment,” prepared for United Space Alliance, February 17, 2000.
  • Garrick, B.J., and D. Cooper, “Report of Nuclear Safety and Risk Assessment Committee on TMI Issues,” prepared for GPU Nuclear Corporation, February 4, 2000.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Notes – In Situ Vitrification Safety Evaluation,” prepared for Idaho Engineering National Laboratory, December 4, 1999.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Observations on the Process for Evaluating Upgrades for the Space Shuttle – Thoughts on an Approach to Space Shuttle Operational Risk Assessment,” prepared for United Space Alliance, November 1999.
  • Garrick, B.J., et al., “Risk Assessment for Increased Concentration in Hydrolysate at the Newport Chemical Agent Disposal Facility, Phase I Screening Consequence Analysis,” prepared for Stone & Webster, July 1999.
  • Garrick, B.J., et al., “Risk Assessment for Increased VX Concentration in Hydrolysate at the Newport Chemical Agent Disposal Facility – Consequence Analysis of Alternative Scenarios for Accidental Releases,” prepared for Stone & Webster, June 1999.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Risk Assessment Methodologies Applicable to Marine Systems,” prepared for the U.S. Coast Guard, April 1999.
  • Garrick, B.J., S. Kaplan, R.J. Loomis, and E.A. Wilson, “The Security and Safety of the Space Shuttle Vehicle,” prepared for United Space Alliance, March 1999.
  • Garrick, B.J., and H.F. Perla, “A Risk Assessment of the FCE/EVA Equipment Processing Facilities,” prepared for United Space Alliance, January 1999.
  • Garrick, B.J., J.C. Lin, and S. Kaplan, “A Conceptual Approach to Analyzing the Security Risk of the External Tank of the Space Transportation System,” prepared for United Space Alliance, December 31, 1997.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Risk Assessment of Neuro-Surgical Generator Sensing Circuit Failure,” PLG-1105, prepared for Valleylab, Inc., March 1996.
  • Garrick, B.J., et al., “Goesgen Probabilistic Safety Assessment,” prepared for Kernkraftwerk Goesgen-Daniken AG, June 1992 through March 1994.
  • Garrick, B.J., et al., either as project director, principal investigator, or member of the team, participated in the preparation of some 40 first-of-a-kind major risk studies of nuclear power plants. Each report contained new advances in methods of analysis. The resulting reports were multivolumed (up to 12 volumes) and involved several thousands of pages of text each, 1977-1992.
  • Garrick, B.J., “First Meeting of the Sequoyah Fuels Corporation Readiness Review Committee,” prepared for the Sequoyah Fuels Corporation, December 1991.
  • Garrick, B.J., et al., “An Independent Evaluation of the Advanced Test Reactor Considering the Probabilistic Risk Assessment as the Basis for Risk Management,” prepared for EG&G Idaho, January 1991.
  • Garrick, B.J., et al., “Savannah River Site Probabilistic Risk Assessment, High-Level Review,” prepared for U.S. Department of Energy, February 1990.
  • Garrick, B.J., et al., “Beznau Station Risk Assessment Plant with NANO, Beznau Nuclear Power Station”, Final Report, PLG-0511, prepared for Nordostschweizerische Kraftwerke, AG, December 1989.
  • Garrick, B.J., et al., “South Texas Project Probabilistic Safety Assessment,” PLG-0700, prepared for Houston Lighting & Power Company, April 1989.
  • Garrick, B.J., et al., “FERMI 2 – Level 1 Probabilistic Risk Assessment,” PLG-0676, prepared for Detroit Edison Company, January 1989.
  • Garrick, B.J., et al., “Beznau Station Risk Assessment Plant As Is,” PLG-0510, prepared for Nordostschweizerische Kraftwerke AG, December 1988.
  • Frank, M.V., S. Kaplan, and B.J. Garrick, “Enhanced Hazard Analysis for Space Systems,” prepared for the National Aeronautics and Space Administration Headquarters, PLG-0665, November 1988.
  • Garrick, B.J., et al., “Final Report of the Diablo Canyon Long Term Seismic Program,” July 1988.
  • Garrick, B.J., et al., “Diablo Canyon Probabilistic Risk Assessment,” PLG-0637, prepared for Pacific Gas and Electric Company, July 1988.
  • Garrick, B.J., et al., “Space Shuttle Probabilistic Risk Assessment, Proof-of-Concept Study, Auxiliary Power Unit and Hydraulic Power Unit Analysis Report,” prepared for the National Aeronautics and Space Administration, Washington, D.C., December 1987.
  • Garrick, B.J., et al., “Three Mile Island Unit 1 Probabilistic Risk Assessment,” Volumes 1 through 7, PLG-0525, prepared for GPU Nuclear Corporation, November 1987.
  • Garrick, B.J., et al., “Browns Ferry Nuclear Plant Unit 1 Probabilistic Risk Assessment,” prepared for Tennessee Valley Authority, January 1986.
  • Garrick, B.J., et al., “Results of the Midland Probabilistic Risk Assessment,” presentation to the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission by Consumers Power and Pickard, Lowe and Garrick, Inc., May 18, 1984.
  • Garrick, B.J., et al., “Midland Nuclear Plant Probabilistic Risk Assessment,” prepared for Consumers Power Company, May 7, 1984.
  • Garrick, B.J., et al., “Seabrook Station Probabilistic Safety Assessment, Briefing on the Results,” presentation to the management of Public Service Company of New Hampshire and Yankee Electric Company, February 1984.
  • Garrick, B.J., et al., “Seabrook Station Probabilistic Safety Assessment,” prepared for Public Service Company of New Hampshire and Yankee Atomic Electric Company, December 1983.
  • Garrick, B.J., et al., “OPSA – Oyster Creek Probabilistic Safety Analysis, Plant Analysis Update,” PLG-0253, prepared for GPU Nuclear Corporation, December 1982.
  • Fleming, K.N., S. Kaplan, and B.J. Garrick, “Seabrook Probabilistic Safety Assessment Management Plan,” PLG-0239, June 1982.
  • Garrick, B.J., et al., “Zion Station Probabilistic Safety Study,” prepared for Commonwealth Edison Company, 1982.
  • Garrick, B.J., et al., “Indian Point Probabilistic Safety Study,” prepared for the Power Authority of the State of New York and Consolidated Edison Company of New York, Inc., 1982.
  • Garrick, B.J., P.P. Bieniarz, and S. Kaplan, “Risk Analysis of Transporting Oconee Spent Nuclear Fuel to the McGuire Nuclear Station,” PLG-0102, June 1979.
  • Duncan, J.M., and B.J. Garrick, “Water Desalting in Hawaii,” prepared for the State of Hawaii the U.S. Department of the Interior, June 1974.
  • Perla, H.F., and B.J. Garrick, “California Power Plant Siting Study,” prepared for the Resources Agency of the State of California, May 1973.
  • Garrick, B.J., et al., “A Risk Model for the Transport of Hazardous Materials,” HN-204, Final Report, prepared for the Department of the Army, August 31, 1969.
  • Garrick, B.J., et al., “Probabilistic Analysis of Nuclear Reactor Containment Structures,” Part 1: Seismic Analysis of Reactor Building and Part 2: Finite Element Analysis of Drywell Due to Loss-of-Coolant Accident, prepared for General Electric Company, HN-203, June 1969.
  • Garrick, B.J., et al., “Reliability Monitoring Pilot Test Program – Connecticut Yankee Project,” prepared for U.S. Atomic Energy Commission, HN-198, September 1968.
  • Garrick, B.J., W.C. Gekler, O.C. Baldonado, E.H. Behrens, and B. Shimizu, “Classification and Processing of Reliability Data from Nuclear Power Plants,” prepared for Phillips Petroleum Company and U.S. Atomic Energy Commission, HN-193, February 1968.
  • Garrick, B.J., et al, “Reliability Analysis of Nuclear Power Plant Protective Systems,” prepared for U.S. Atomic Energy Commission by Holmes & Narver, Inc., HN-190, May 1967.
  • Garrick, B.J., W.C. Gekler, and H.P. Pomrehn, “An Analysis of Nuclear Power Plant Operating and Safety Experience,” Vols. 1 and 2, prepared for U.S. Atomic Energy Commission by Holmes & Narver, Inc., HN-185, December 15, 1966.
  • Garrick, B.J., W.C. Gekler, J.M. Duncan, R.H. Karcher, and B.Shimizu, “A Study of Research Reactor Operating and Safety Experience,” prepared for Phillips Petroleum Company, prime contractor to U.S. Atomic Energy Commission, HN-180, June 12, 1964.
  • Garrick, B.J., W.J. Costley, and W.C. Gekler, “A Study of Test Reactor Operating and Safety Experience,” Vol. 1 and Vol. 2, prepared for Phillips Petroleum Company, prime contractor to the U.S. Atomic Energy Commission, HN-172, May 10, 1963.
  • Garrick, B. J., “Probability Theory As A Couple Between Atmospheric Diffusion and Population,” Research Project, University of California, 1962.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Research and Development in Reactor Safety,” a booklet prepared for the U.S. Atomic Energy Commission describing the U.S. Atomic Energy Commission Reactor Safety Research Program, for Distribution at the Second International Conference on the Peaceful Uses of Atomic Energy, Geneva, Switzerland, 1958, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C., February 1959.
  • Garrick, B.J., “Multigroup-Multiregion Theory for the Consistent P1 Approximation to the Boltzmann Equation,” prepared for Oak Ridge School of Reactor Technology, August 1955.
  • Garrick, B.J., Several Classified Reports Covering Such Topics as “Nuclear Criticality,” “Fission Product Heat Up,” and “Radioactive Waste Handling,” were written while employed as a physicist at the U.S. Atomic Energy Commission’s National Reactor Testing Station in Idaho Falls, Idaho, 1952-54.