Proceedings of the First International Colloquium on Catastrophic and Existential Risk, B. John Garrick (Ed), Published by The B. John Garrick Institute for the Risk Sciences, University of California Los Angeles, Dec 2017
NEWS & EVENTS
Dr. Mosleh presented a Keynote: "Safety and Reliability of Autonomous Maritime Transportation: Human Still in the Loop" in Banff, Canada this past August. The conference, held in conjunction with the 4th International Conference on Transportation Information and Safety, showcased best innovation, technology, engineering improvements, enforcement efforts, and education and engagement to address current and emerging transportation safety issues.
Prof. Ali Mosleh presented a Keynote “On the merits of the Hybrid Causal Logic method for maritime risk management” at the 2nd International Workshop on Maritime Safety and Smart Shipping (MSSS) in Wuhan, China. This September visit was his first visit since being appointed Director of their 1st Advisory Committee of the National Engineering Research Center for Water Transport Safety (WTS Center) at Wuhan University of Technology in China.
The UCLA Garrick Institute is conducting research with the Southern Company Services team on a project to develop concepts and tools (e.g., models and techniques of Probabilistic Risk Assessment, PRA). These are crucial for the risk-informed decision making with a focus on non-LWR (Light Water Reactor) Next Generation Nuclear Power Plants.
PSAM 14 Conference will be the major international event in probabilistic safety assessment and management (PSAM) for 2018. The Conference will present and discuss innovative methodologies and the practical applications of these technologies in both reliability analysis and PSA. The Conference will focus on the improvement of performance and safety of complex technological systems, economics, and environment — accentuating a broad PSA application and the human element. Domains will be broad to ensure the cross-fertilization of methods, technologies and ideas.
Online Abstract Submission for PSAM 14 has been enabled and will remain open until November 17, 2017. More details can be found at the conference website.
A 5-member delegation from Indonesia visited the Institute on October 13th, to discuss earthquake research. Sponsored by the Department of State’s International Visitor Leadership Program, they are participating in a project titled “Crisis Management”.
In this edited Q&A, three experts talked to UCLA Engineering about how to realistically think about these risks and how to provide sound information to policy makers. Responding to questions were UCLA Chancellor Emeritus Albert Carnesale, a professor of mechanical and aerospace engineering and public policy; Seán Ó hÉigeartaigh, executive director of Centre for the Study of Existential Risk at the University of Cambridge; and Christine Peterson, co-founder and past president of the Foresight Institute, a think tank and public interest organization based in the San Francisco Bay Area.
All were featured speakers at the conference.
This summer, the B. John Garrick Institute hosted presentations and roundtable discussions from two international Visiting Professors in the risk sciences field.
In July, Dr. Di Zhang, Associate Professor at Wuhan University of Technology in China, graciously gave two presentations. The first introduced WUT and the maritime risk studies and research conducted at the National Engineering Research Center for Water Transport Safety (WTS Center). The following week, Dr. Zhang discussed “Congestion risk analysis of inland waterways” with a lively Q&A.
Professor Enrico Zio, presented his research on Earthquake and Facilities Safety in August. He is an expert in Safety Engineering and Nuclear Engineering, and President and Rector's delegate of the Alumni Association at Politecnico di Milano. Dr. Zio is also Director of the Chair on Complex Systems and the Energy Challenge at Ecole Centrale Paris and Supelec, Foundation.
The purpose of this two-and-a-half-day Colloquium on Catastrophic and Existential Risk is to contribute to the pioneering work of scholarly groups such as the University of Oxford’s Future of Humanity Institute and the University of Cambridge’s Centre for the Study of Existential Risk. In the United States, such groups as the Future of Life Institute, the Machine Intelligence Research Institute, the Foresight Institute, and the Global Catastrophic Risk Institute are inspirations for the colloquium as well. All of the above groups will be represented at the colloquium.Read More
At the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA), some 40 distinguished philosophers, physicists, engineers, lawyers, social scientists, administrators, students and writers are spending two and a half days at an event sponsored by the B. John Garrick Institute for the Risk Sciences, examining the issue of catastrophic risks facing humans, including risks that threaten the entire future of humanity – that is ‘existential risks.’ Click to see full list of attendees.Read More
Will humans make it through the next century?
It's not a frivolous question. A surprising number of futurists give us a good chance of not making it - as there is no shortage of existential risks..Read More
International Symposium on Science, Engineering, and Strategy for Risk Based Maintenance
Venue: Ono Auditorium, Waseda University, Tokyo, Japan
Scope of Symposium: Japan’s industrial growth, especially along the coastal areas of major cities, has increased the concern about assuring safety to the public and workers as well as the protection of the environment. There is increasing pressure to achieve the appropriate balance between safety assurance and productivity commensurate with both good safety and business practices. In this regard the Japanese industry is turning to the risk sciences for new technologies and tools to better measure and control overall performance of industrial systems. Such tools are designed to not only assess and make transparent the risks involved and their contributing factors, but also provide roadmaps for such activities as inspection, maintenance, and corrective actions. Such actions are consistent with the goal of the 180th Committee on Risk-Based Plant Management that was established in 2007 as a University-Industry Cooperative Research Committee of the Japan Society for the Promotion of Science with its goal to develop risk based management systems suited to Japan.
With experts from Japan and abroad, the purpose of this international symposium is to summarize the activities of the 180th Committee, to discuss the potential of risk based management, the current issues that exist, and to offer possible solutions.
Location: The Kuwait Hilton Resort, Al-Mangaf, Kuwait
Keynote Title: "Frontiers of Reliability and Risk Management Methods: An Assessment and Suggestions for Application in the Oil Industry"
Methods and technologies of reliability engineering, safety assessment, and risk management have gone through more than 50 years of evolution and advancements, and currently enjoy wide acceptance in many fields of application. Over the past two decades significant progress has been made on various fronts, including formulation of common scientific bases for these disciplines, development of advanced engineering approaches, and introduction of a wide array of sophisticated analytical methods. Most promising is the trend in fusion of scientific and engineering methods and technologies for more effective and proactive management of reliability, safety and risk concerns. An example is the rapidly advancing system prognostics and health monitoring technologies. This talk will examine the state of the art in reliability, safety, and risk disciplines, and offer some suggestions on applications to Oil Production and Refining Facilities.
The B. John Garrick Institute for the Risk Sciences, Henry Samueli School of Engineering and Applied Science, the University of California, Los Angeles, and College of Engineering at Kyung Hee University sign collaboration MoU.
This Cooperative Agreement was signed on July 28, 2015. The purpose of this agreement is to explore the scientific collaboration between the UCLA-GIRS research team in the B. John Garrick Institute for the Risk Sciences and the KHU research team in the Department of Nuclear Engineering. Faculty members from the B. John Garrick Institute for Risk Sciences and Department of Nuclear Engineering at KHU to cooperate in common research projects, official programs for training and take joint steps to acquire funds that can be used to perform research of common interest, subsidize reciprocal visits for scientific collaboration and support activities carried out as part of collaboration.
Associate Professor Gyunyoung Heo of Mainformatics Lab, Department of Nuclear Engineering at Kyung Hee University, Korea
Distinguished Professor Ali Mosleh, the Evalyn Knight Chair in Engineering at the UCLA Henry Samueli School of Engineering and Applied Science, has been named the first director of the B. John Garrick Institute for the Risk Sciences at UCLA.Read More