Publication Date Feb 01, 1980 by Apostolakis G., Kaplan S., Garrick B.J., Duphily R.J.
Bayes' theorem is used to derive plant specific distributions for the failure rates of components. Methods are suggested for the derivation of generic distributions from information that appears in the literature.
These distributions are used as prior distributions in Bayes' theorem, and they are modified using plant specific data. The posterior distributions thus derived can be used as inputs in a plant specific risk analysis.
From Nuclear Engineering and Design, Volume 56, Issue 2, pp. 321-329, February 1980.
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